<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:title>Probabilistic Forecasting with Adaptive Mixtures of Rolling
Statistics</dc:title>
  <dc:title>R package rollcast version 0.1.0</dc:title>
  <dc:description>Implements a probabilistic time-series forecasting framework
    based on adaptive mixtures of rolling statistical anchors. Rolling means,
    medians, minimum and maximum values, regression endpoints, and
    user-specified quantiles define candidate forecast locations. A
    proper-score gating model assigns state-dependent mixture weights,
    optional state-conditional residual
    sampling adds local dispersion, and recursive simulation produces
    marginal and joint predictive distributions. Numeric hyperparameters can
    be supplied as scalars or candidate vectors for causal validation-based
    selection.</dc:description>
  <dc:type>Software</dc:type>
  <dc:relation>Depends: R (&gt;= 4.1.0)</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>Imports: Rcpp (&gt;= 1.0.12), stats, graphics, grDevices, utils</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>LinkingTo: Rcpp</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>Suggests: testthat (&gt;= 3.0.0), knitr, rmarkdown</dc:relation>
  <dc:creator>Giancarlo Vercellino &lt;giancarlo.vercellino@gmail.com&gt;</dc:creator>
  <dc:publisher>Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN)</dc:publisher>
  <dc:contributor>Giancarlo Vercellino [aut, cre]</dc:contributor>
  <dc:rights>MIT + file LICENSE (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rollcast/LICENSE)</dc:rights>
  <dc:date>2026-09-02</dc:date>
  <dc:format>application/tgz</dc:format>
  <dc:identifier>https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rollcast</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>doi:10.32614/CRAN.package.rollcast</dc:identifier>
</oai_dc:dc>
