<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:title>Real-Time Effective Reproduction Number Estimation and
Forecasting</dc:title>
  <dc:title>R package RtForecastR version 0.1.1</dc:title>
  <dc:description>Filtered (real-time/causal) and smoothed (retrospective)
    estimation of the time-varying effective reproduction number (Rt)
    from case-count time series, using the EpiFilter algorithm of
    Parag (2021) &lt;doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009347&gt;, together with a
    one-step-ahead in-sample prediction check, a genuine out-of-sample
    one-step forecast with predictive intervals, elimination
    probability P(Rt &lt; 1), and forecast calibration metrics (mean
    absolute error, mean squared error, root mean squared error,
    empirical coverage, and the weighted interval score of Bracher
    et al. (2021) &lt;doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008618&gt;).
    Disease-agnostic: works for any pathogen given a known generation
    interval.</dc:description>
  <dc:type>Software</dc:type>
  <dc:relation>Depends: R (&gt;= 3.5)</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>Imports: graphics, grDevices, stats, utils</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>Suggests: testthat (&gt;= 3.0.0), knitr, rmarkdown</dc:relation>
  <dc:creator>Raj Subedi &lt;rajsubediresearch@gmail.com&gt;</dc:creator>
  <dc:publisher>Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN)</dc:publisher>
  <dc:contributor>Raj Subedi [aut, cre, cph] (Copyright holder for all files except
    epiFilter.R, epiSmoother.R, and the original recursPredict.R logic
    (see Kris V. Parag entry); author of R/recursPredict.R's
    configurable-grid maxI extension and R/recursPredictQuantiles.R),
  Kris V. Parag [ctb, cph] (Author/copyright holder of the original
    EpiFilter algorithm (epiFilter, epiSmoother, recursPredict); files
    R/epiFilter.R, R/epiSmoother.R and R/recursPredict.R are unmodified
    or lightly modified ports of that work, released under GPL-3)</dc:contributor>
  <dc:rights>GPL-3</dc:rights>
  <dc:date>2026-08-21</dc:date>
  <dc:format>application/tgz</dc:format>
  <dc:identifier>https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=RtForecastR</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>doi:10.32614/CRAN.package.RtForecastR</dc:identifier>
  <dc:language>en-US</dc:language>
</oai_dc:dc>
