Smithson Michael, Budescu David V., Broomell Stephen B., Por Hanhui
Never Say 'Not:' Impact of Negative Wording in Probability Phrases on Imprecise Probability Judgments
Michael Smithson ; Michael.Smithson@anu.edu.au ; The Australian National University ; Australia ; Psychology Department - The Australian National University - Canberra A.C.T. 0200
David V. Budescu ; budescu@fordham.edu ; Fordham University ; USA ;
Stephen B. Broomell ; broomell@gmail.com ; Pennsylvania State University ; USA ;
Han-Hui Por ; hanhui.p@gmail.com ; Fordham University ; USA ;
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Benhaim Yakov
Two for the Price of One: Info-Gap Robustness of the 1-Test Algorithm
Yakov Ben-Haim ; yakov@technion.ac.il ; Technion-Israel Institute of Technology ; Israel ; Prof. Yakov Ben-Haim - Yitzhak Moda'i Chair in Technology and Economics - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering - Technion - Israel Institute of Technology - Haifa 32000 Israel -
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Beer Michael, Zhang Mingqiang, Quek Ser Tong, Ferson Scott
Structural Reliability Assessment with Fuzzy Probabilities
Michael Beer ; cvebm@nus.edu.sg ; Dept. of Civil Engineering, National University of Singapore ; United Kingdom ; Centre for Engineering Sustainability - School of Engineering - University of Liverpool - Liverpool
Mingqiang Zhang ; mingqiang@nus.edu.sg ; National Univ. of Singapore ; Singapore ; Dept. of Civil & Environmental Engineering - BLK E1A #07-03 - 1 Engineering Drive 2 - Singapore 117576
Ser Tong Quek ; cveqst@nus.edu.sg ; National Univ. of Singapore ; Singapore ; Dept. of Civil & Environmental Engineering - BLK E1A #07-03 - 1 Engineering Drive 2 - Singapore 117576
Scott Ferson ; scott@ramas.com ; Applied Biomathematics ; USA ; 100 North Country Road - Setauket, New York 11733 - USA
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Jirousek Radim
A  Note on Local Computations in Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence
Radim Jirousek ; radim@utia.cas.cz ; Czech Academy of Sciences ; Czech Republic ; Inst. of Information Theory and Automation - Czech Academy of Sciences - Pod vodarenskou vezi 4 - 182 08 Praha 8 - Czech Republic
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Bronevich Andrey
The Description of Least Favorable Pairs in Huber-Strassen Theory, Finite Case
Andrey Bronevich ; brone@mail.ru ; Taganrog State University of Radio-Engineering ; Russia ; Nekrasovsky street 44, 347928, Taganrog, Russia
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Utkin Lev, Coolen Frank
Interval-valued regression and classification models in the framework of machine learning
Lev Utkin ; lev.utkin@mail.ru ; St.Petersburg State Forest Technical Academy ; Russia ; Institutski per. 5, 194021 St.Petersburg
Frank Coolen ; Frank.Coolen@durham.ac.uk ; University of Durham ; England ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE, - England
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Seidenfeld Teddy, Schervish Mark, Kadane Joseph
Forecasting with Imprecise Probabilities
Teddy Seidenfeld ; teddy@stat.cmu.edu ; H.A. Simon Professor of Philosophy and Statistics at Carnegie Mellon University ; USA ; 135J Baker Hall - Carnegie Mellon University - Pgh. PA 15213 -
Mark Schervish ; mark@stat.cmu.edu ; Carnegie Mellon University ; USA ; Department of Statistics - Carnegie Mellon University - Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890 - USA
Joseph Kadane ; kadane@stat.cmu.edu ; Carnegie Mellon University ; USA ; Department of Statistics - Carnegie Mellon University - Pittsburgh, PA 15213
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Liu Xuecheng, Vandal Alain C.
Bounds for Self-consistent CDF Estimators for Univariate and Multivariate Censored Data
Xuecheng Liu ; xuecheng.liu@umontreal.ca ; University of Montreal ; CANADA ; Research Unit on Children's psychosocial Maladjustment, - University of Montreal, - Montreal (Quebec) H3T 1J7 - CANADA -  -
Alain C. Vandal ; alain.vandal@aut.ac.nz ; AUT University/CCRep ; New Zealand ; Faculty of Health and Environmental Sciences - Auckland University of Technology (AUT) - North Shore Campus - Private Bag 92006 - Auckland 1142 -
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De Cooman Gert, Miranda Enrique
Independent natural extension for sets of desirable gambles
Gert De Cooman ; gert.decooman@ugent.be ; SYSTeMS Research Group, Ghent University ; Belgium ; Technologiepark - Zwijnaarde 914 - 9052 Zwijnaarde -
Enrique Miranda ; mirandaenrique@uniovi.es ; University of Oviedo ; Spain ; Dep. of Statistics and O.R. - University of Oviedo - C-Calvo Sotelo, s/n - 33007 Oviedo (Spain)
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Liu Hailin
Robust Equilibria under Linear Tracing Procedure
Hailin Liu ; hailinl@andrew.cmu.edu ; Carnegie Mellon University ; United States ; Department of Philosophy - Baker Hall 135 - Carnegie Mellon University - Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890
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Schmelzer Bernhard
Characterizing joint distributions of random sets with an application to set-valued stochastic processes
Bernhard Schmelzer ; bernhard.schmelzer@uibk.ac.at ; Unit for Engineering Mathematics, University of Innsbruck, Austria ; Austria ; Technikerstrae 13, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria
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Capotorti Andrea, Vantaggi Barbara
Incoherence correction strategies in statistical matching
Andrea Capotorti ; capot@dipmat.unipg.it ; Universit di Perugia ; Italy ; Dipartimento di Matematica e Informatica  - Universit di Perugia - via Vanvitelli 1 - 06123 Perugia - Italy
Barbara Vantaggi ; vantaggi@dmmm.uniroma1.it ; Universita  ; Italy ; Dipartimento Metodi e Modelli Matematici - Universita' La Sapienza - via Scarpa n. 16 Roma,  - 00161, Italy
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Cattaneo Marco, Wiencierz Andrea
Regression with Imprecise Data: A Robust Approach
Marco Cattaneo ; cattaneo@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; Department of Statistics, LMU Munich ; Germany ; Institut fuer Statistik - Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitaet Muenchen - Ludwigstrasse 33 - 80539 Muenchen
Andrea Wiencierz ; Andrea.Wiencierz@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; Department of Statistics, LMU Munich ; Germany ; Department of Statistics, LMU Munich - Ludwigstr. 33 - 80539 Munich - Germany
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Zaffalon Marco, Corani Giorgio, Mau Denis
Utility-Based Accuracy Measures to Empirically Evaluate Credal Classifiers
Marco Zaffalon ; zaffalon@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; Galleria 2 - CH-6928 Manno - Switzerland
Giorgio Corani ; giorgio@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; IDSIA - CH-6928 Manno  - Lugano - Switzerland
Denis Mau ; denis@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; Galleria 2, CH-6928 Manno.
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Bezerra Diogo, Campello de Souza Fernando
Dirichlet Model Versus Expert Knowledge
Diogo Bezerra ; dicbezerra@hotmail.com ; UFPE ; Brazil ; Ncleo de Gesto - CAA, - Universidade Federal de Pernambuco - Caruaru - PE,
Fernando Campello de Souza ; fmcs@hotlink.com.br ; Universidade Federal de Pernambuco ; Brasil ; Rua Neto de Mendonca, 121, Apto. 2301, Tamarineira - 52050-100 Recife, Pernambuco - Brasil
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Arlocosta Horacio, Dutt Varun, Gonzalez Cleotilde, Helzner Jeffrey
The Description/Experience Gap in the Case of Uncertainty
Horacio Arlo-Costa ; hcosta@andrew.cmu.edu ; CMU ; USA ; 5523 HOWE ST. #2, PITTSBURGH, PA, 15232
Varun Dutt ; vdutt@andrew.cmu.edu ; EPP at CMU ; USA ; Department of Engineering and Public Policy - Baker Hall 129 - Carnegie Mellon University - 5000 Forbes Avenue - Pittsburgh, PA 15213
Cleotilde Gonzalez ; coty@cmu.edu ; Carnegie Mellon University ; USA ; Social and Decision Sciences - Porter Hall 223-C - Pittsburgh PA 15217
Jeffrey Helzner ; jh2239@columbia.edu ; Columbia University ; USA ; Department of Philosophy  - Columbia University  - 1150 Amsterdam Avenue  - 708 Philosophy Hall, MC 4971  - New York, NY10027
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De Bock Jasper, De Cooman Gert
State sequence prediction in imprecise hidden Markov models
Jasper De Bock ; jasper.debock@ugent.be ; Ghent University ; Belgium ; Technologiepark- Zwijnaarde  914 - 9052 Zwijnaarde -
Gert De Cooman ; gert.decooman@ugent.be ; SYSTeMS Research Group, Ghent University ; Belgium ; Technologiepark - Zwijnaarde 914 - 9052 Zwijnaarde -
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Cano Andrs, Gmez Manuel, Masegosa Andrs R., Moral Serafn
Comparing Binary and Standard Probability Trees in Credal Networks Inference
Andrs Cano ; acu@decsai.ugr.es ; Universidad de Granada ; Spain ; Dpto. Ciencias de la Computacin e I.A. - ETS Ingenieras Informtica y de Telecomunicacin - Avda. Andalucia s/n - Granada 18071 - CIF: Q1818002F - Spain
Manuel Gmez ; mgomez@decsai.ugr.es ; University of Granada ; Spain ; Dpto. Ciencias de la Computacin e I.A.  - ETS Ingenieras Informtica y de Telecomunicacin  - C// Periodista Daniel Saucedo Aranda - 18071 Granada -
Andrs R. Masegosa ; andrew@decsai.ugr.es ; University of Granada ; Spain ; Departamento de Ciencias de la Computacin e Inteligencia Artificial - Escuela Tcnica Superior de Ingenieras Informtica y de Telecomunicacin	 - c/. Daniel Saucedo Aranda, s/n 18071 Granada
Serafn Moral ; smc@decsai.ugr.es ; Universidad de Granada ; Spain ; Dpto. Ciencias de la Computacin e IA - ETSI Informtica - Universidad de Granada - 18071 Granada - SPAIN
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Cuzzolin Fabio
Lp consonant approximation of belief functions in the mass space
Fabio Cuzzolin ; Fabio.Cuzzolin@brookes.ac.uk ; Oxford Brookes University ; United Kingdom ; Department of Computing - Oxford Brookes University - Wheatley campus - OX33 1HX - Oxford
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Huntley Nathan, Troffaes Matthias
Dynamic Programming and Subtree Perfectness for Deterministic Discrete-Time Systems with Uncertain Rewards
Nathan Huntley ; nathan.huntley@durham.ac.uk ; Durham University ; United Kingdom ; Dept of Mathematical Sciences - Durham University - Science Laboratories - South Rd. - Durham - DH1 3LE
Matthias Troffaes ; matthias.troffaes@gmail.com ; Durham University ; United Kingdom  ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Durham University - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE -
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Benavoli Alessio, Zaffalon Marco
A discussion on learning and prior ignorance for sets of priors in the one-parameter exponential family
Alessio Benavoli ; alessio@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; Galleria 2 - 6928 Manno
Marco Zaffalon ; zaffalon@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; Galleria 2 - CH-6928 Manno - Switzerland
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Crossman Richard, Abelln Joaqun, Augustin Thomas, Coolen Frank
Building Imprecise Classification Trees With Entropy Ranges
Richard Crossman ; R.J.Crossman@warwick.ac.uk ; University of Warwick ; UK ;
Joaqun Abelln ; jabellan@decsai.ugr.es ; Universidad de Granada ; Spain ; Dpto. Ciencias de la Computacin - ETSI Informtica - 18071 Granada - SPAIN
Thomas Augustin ; thomas@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; University of Munich ; Germany ; Department of Statistics - University of Munich - Ludwigstr. 33 - D-80539 Munich - Germany
Frank Coolen ; Frank.Coolen@durham.ac.uk ; University of Durham ; England ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE, - England
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Miranda Enrique, Zaffalon Marco, De Cooman Gert
Conglomerable Natural Extension
Enrique Miranda ; mirandaenrique@uniovi.es ; University of Oviedo ; Spain ; Dep. of Statistics and O.R. - University of Oviedo - C-Calvo Sotelo, s/n - 33007 Oviedo (Spain)
Marco Zaffalon ; zaffalon@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; Galleria 2 - CH-6928 Manno - Switzerland
Gert De Cooman ; gert.decooman@ugent.be ; SYSTeMS Research Group, Ghent University ; Belgium ; Technologiepark - Zwijnaarde 914 - 9052 Zwijnaarde -
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Kchenhoff Helmut, Augustin Thomas, Kunz Anne
Partially identified prevalence estimation under misclassification using the Kappa coefficient
Helmut Kchenhoff ; kuechenhoff@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; University of Munich ; Germany ; Department of Statistics,  - University of Munich - Germany
Thomas Augustin ; thomas@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; University of Munich ; Germany ; Department of Statistics - University of Munich - Ludwigstr. 33 - D-80539 Munich - Germany
Anne Kunz ; anne.kunz@ibe.med.uni-muenchen ; Munich Cancer Registry ; Germany ; LMU Munich
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Antonucci Alessandro, Cattaneo Marco, Corani Giorgio
Likelihood-Based Naive Credal Classifier
Alessandro Antonucci ; alessandro@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; c/o IDSIA - Galleria 2 - CH-6928 Manno (Lugano)
Marco Cattaneo ; cattaneo@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; Department of Statistics, LMU Munich ; Germany ; Institut fuer Statistik - Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitaet Muenchen - Ludwigstrasse 33 - 80539 Muenchen
Giorgio Corani ; giorgio@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; IDSIA - CH-6928 Manno  - Lugano - Switzerland
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Troffaes Matthias, Gosling John Paul
Robust detection of exotic infectious diseases in animal herds: A comparative study of two decision methodologies under severe uncertainty
Matthias Troffaes ; matthias.troffaes@gmail.com ; Durham University ; United Kingdom  ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Durham University - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE -
John Paul Gosling ; johnpaul.gosling@fera.gsi.gov.uk ; The Food and Environment Research Agency (FERA) ; United Kingdom ; The Food and Environment Research Agency - Sand Hutton - York YO41 1LZ -
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Troffaes Matthias, Destercke Sebastien
Probability boxes on totally preordered spaces for multivariate modelling
Matthias Troffaes ; matthias.troffaes@gmail.com ; Durham University ; United Kingdom  ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Durham University - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE -
Sebastien Destercke ; sdestercke@gmail.com ; French agricultural research centre working for international development. (CIRAD) ; France ; UMR IATE, Campus INRA / Montpellier SupAgro 2, place Pierre Viala 34060 Montpellier Cedex 2
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Mau Denis, Campos Cassio, Zaffalon Marco
A Fully Polynomial Time Approximation Scheme for Updating Credal Networks of Bounded Treewidth and Number of Variable States
Denis Mau ; denis@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; Galleria 2, CH-6928 Manno.
Cassio Campos ; cassio@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; IDSIA - Galleria 2 - 6928 Manno-Lugano - Switzerland -
Marco Zaffalon ; zaffalon@idsia.ch ; IDSIA ; Switzerland ; Galleria 2 - CH-6928 Manno - Switzerland
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LE DUY Tu Duong, Vasseur Dominique, Couplet Mathieu, Dieulle Laurence, Brenguer Christophe
A study on updating belief functions for parameter uncertainty representation in Nuclear Probabilistic Risk Assessment
Tu Duong LE DUY ; tu_duong.le_duy@utt.fr ; Risk Management Department - EDF R&D  ; France ; 1, avenue de Gnral de Gaulle,  - 92141 Clamart cedex.
Dominique Vasseur ; dominique.vasseur@edf.fr ; Electricity of France R&D ; France ; Risk Management Department RDI - Clamart cedex
Mathieu Couplet ; mathieu.couplet@edf.fr ; Electricity of France R&D ; France ; Risk Management Department RDI - Clamart cedex
Laurence Dieulle ; laurence.dieulle@utt.fr ; University of Technology of Troyes ; France ; Institut Charles Delaunay/LM2S, UMR STMR  - Troyes Cedex
Christophe Brenguer ; christophe.berenguer@utt.fr ; University of Technology of Troyes ; France ; Institut Charles Delaunay/LM2S, UMR STMR  - Troyes Cedex
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Sundgren David
Discrete Second-order Probability Distributions that Factor into Marginals
David Sundgren ; dsn@hig.se ; University of Gävle ; Sweden ; Kungsbcksvgen 47 - SE-801 76 Gvle - Sweden
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Vejnarova Jirina
Conditioning, conditional independence and irrelevance in evidence theory
Jirina Vejnarova ; vejnar@utia.cas.cz ; Institute if Infrormation Theory and Automation ; Czech Republic ; Institute if Infrormation Theory and Automation - Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic - Pod vodarenskou vezi 4 - 182 08 Prague - Czech Republik -
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Daniel Milan
Non-conflicting and Conflicting Parts of Belief Functions
Milan Daniel ; milan.daniel@cs.cas.cz ; Institute of Computer Science, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic ; Czech Republic ; Pod vodarenskou vezi 2, - CZ-182 07  Prague 8
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Gilio Angelo, Sanfilippo Giuseppe
Coherent conditional probabilities and proper scoring rules
Angelo Gilio ; gilio@dmmm.uniroma1.it ; University La Sapienza ; Italy ; Dipartimento di Metodi e Modelli Matematici - Via A. Scarpa 16, 00161 Roma (Italy)
Giuseppe Sanfilippo ; sanfilippo@unipa.it ; University of Palermo, Italy ; Italy ; Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche e Matematiche ''S.Vianelli'' - Universita' degli Studi di Palermo - Viale delle Scienze ed.13 - 90128 Palermo,Italy -
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Troffaes Matthias, Hable Robert
Robustness of Natural Extension
Matthias Troffaes ; matthias.troffaes@gmail.com ; Durham University ; United Kingdom  ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Durham University - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE -
Robert Hable ; Robert.Hable@uni-bayreuth.de ; University of Bayreuth ; Germany ; Department of Mathematics - University of Bayreuth - D-95440 Bayreuth - Germany -
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Kozine Igor, Krymsky Victor
Overcoming some limitations of imprecise reliability models
Igor Kozine ; igko@man.dtu.dk ; Technical University of Denmark ; Denmark ; Department of Management Engineering  - Produktionstorvet  - Building 426 - 2800 Lyngby -
Victor Krymsky ; vikrymsky@mail.ru ; State Academy of Economics and Service ; Russia ; State Academy of Economics and Service  - Department of Information Control Systems - 145 Chernyshevsky Street  - Ufa, 450078, Russia
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Walter Gero, Augustin Thomas, Coolen Frank
On Prior-Data Conflict in Predictive Bernoulli Inferences
Gero Walter ; gero.walter@stat.uni-muenchen.de ;  ; Germany ; Department of Statistics - Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich - Ludwigstrae 33 - D-80539 Mnchen -
Thomas Augustin ; thomas@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; University of Munich ; Germany ; Department of Statistics - University of Munich - Ludwigstr. 33 - D-80539 Munich - Germany
Frank Coolen ; Frank.Coolen@durham.ac.uk ; University of Durham ; England ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE, - England
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Baker Rebecca, Coolenschrijner Pauline, Coolen Frank, Augustin Thomas
Nonparametric predictive inference for subcategory data
Rebecca Baker ; r.m.baker@dunelm.org.uk ;  ; UK ; 14 Stafford Road - Gretton - Northamptonshire - NN17 3DP
Pauline Coolen-Schrijner ; pauline ;  ;  ;
Frank Coolen ; Frank.Coolen@durham.ac.uk ; University of Durham ; England ; Department of Mathematical Sciences - Science Laboratories, South Road - Durham, DH1 3LE, - England
Thomas Augustin ; thomas@stat.uni-muenchen.de ; University of Munich ; Germany ; Department of Statistics - University of Munich - Ludwigstr. 33 - D-80539 Munich - Germany
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Nau Robert
Imprecise Probabilities in Non-cooperative Games
Robert Nau ; robert.nau@duke.edu ; Fuqua School of Business, Duke University ; USA ; Fuqua School of Business - Duke University - Durham, NC 27708-0120 - USA
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Fetz Thomas
Modelling uncertainties in limit state functions
Thomas Fetz ; Thomas.Fetz@uibk.ac.at ; Universitt Innsbruck ; Austria ; Universitt Innsbruck - Institut fr Grundlagen der Bauingenieurwissenschaften, - Arbeitsbereich Technische Mathematik - Technikerstrae 13,  - A-6020 Innsbruck
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Hampel Frank
Potential Surprises
Frank Hampel ; hampel@stat.math.ethz.ch ; Seminar fuer Statistik, ETH-Zentrum ; Switzerland ; Seminar fuer Statistik - Leonhardstrasse 27 - ETH-Zentrum, LEO D2 - CH-8092 Zurich - Switzerland -
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